Bill Gates thinks a coming disease could kill 30 million people within 6 months — and says we should prepare for it as we do for war.
ΣΧΟΛΙΟ ΙΣΤΟΛΟΓΙΟΥ : Τον Απρίλιο του 2018 ο Μπιλάκος προειδοποιούσε τον κόσμο για μια νέα θανατηφόρο ασθένεια η οποία θα προκύψει και θα εξαπλωθεί σε όλο τον κόσμο. Αυτό θα μπορούσε να συμβεί εύκολα μέσα στην επόμενη δεκαετία..έλεγε ο Μπιλάκος .!!Μάλλον του το είπε στο αυτάκι ένα "πουλάκι"...και ήταν τόσο σίγουρος. Όπως ο ίδιος είπε ο παγκόσμιος πληθυσμός αυξάνεται και είναι όλο και πιο εύκολο για μεμονωμένους ανθρώπους ή μικρές ομάδες να δημιουργήσουν όπλα που θα μπορούσαν να εξαπλωθούν σαν αστραπή σε όλον κόσμο. Με λίγα λόγια δημιούργησαν (μαζί και ο Μπιλάκος) μια προσομοίωση χρησιμοποιώντας coronavirus.Μερικούς μήνες αργότερα έχουμε ένα πραγματικό.Σύμπτωση;;; Όπως έχω ξαναγράψει τα ιερατεία είναι πολύ προσεκτικά με το Κάρμα...πριν κάνουν οτιδήποτε το ανακοινώνουν. Το θέμα είναι ποιος καταλαβαίνει ότι αυτά που λένε...δεν είναι απλά φαντασιώσεις, ταινίες ή παραμύθια;; Βέβαια οι Κινέζοι είναι κατά το ήμιση ανθρώπινοι και πολύ επικίνδυνοι....και οι ιοί σε αυτούς είναι πολύ πιο θανατηφόροι απο ότι στους άλλους. Κατά τη διάρκεια της Πολιτιστικής Επανάστασης στην Κίνα, η κατανάλωση ανθρώπινης σάρκας δεν ήταν ασυνήθιστη, όχι λόγω πείνας ή λιμοκτονίας.
The next deadly disease that will cause a global pandemic is coming, Bill Gates said on Friday at a discussion of epidemics.
We're not ready.
An
illness like the pandemic 1918 influenza could kill 30 million people
within six months, Gates said, adding that the next disease might not
even be a flu, but something we've never seen.
The world should prepare as it does for war, Gates said.
If there's one thing that we know from history, it's that a deadly new disease will arise and spread around the globe.
That could happen easily within the next decade. And as Bill Gates told listeners on Friday at a discussion about epidemics hosted by the Massachusetts Medical Society and the New England Journal of Medicine, we're not ready.
Gates
acknowledged that he's usually the optimist in the room, reminding
people that we're lifting children out of poverty around the globe and
getting better at eliminating diseases like polio and malaria.
But "there's one area though where the world isn't making much progress," Gates said, "and that's pandemic preparedness."
The likelihood that such a disease will appear continues to rise. New pathogens
emerge all the time as the world population increases and humanity
encroaches on wild environments. It's becoming easier and easier for
individual people or small groups to create weaponized diseases that could spread like wildfire around the globe.
According to Gates, a small non-state actor could build an even deadlier form of smallpox in a lab.
And
in our interconnected world, people are always hopping on planes,
crossing from cities on one continent to those on another in a matter of
hours.
Gates presented a simulation by the Institute for Disease
Modeling that found that a new flu like the one that killed 50 million
people in the 1918 pandemic would now most likely kill 30 million people
within six months.
And the disease that next takes us by surprise
is likely to be one we see for the first time at the start of an
outbreak, like what happened recently with SARS and MERS viruses.
If you were to tell the world's governments that weapons that could
kill 30 million people were under construction right now, there'd be a
sense of urgency about preparing for the threat, Gates said.
"In
the case of biological threats, that sense of urgency is lacking," he
said. "The world needs to prepare for pandemics in the same serious way
it prepares for war."
Doctors Without Borders (MSF) staffer Alex Eilert Paulsen
watches as mattresses and bed frames burn at the Ebola Treatment Unit
(ETU) on January 31, 2015 in Paynesville, Liberia.
John Moore/Getty
Stopping the next pandemic
The one time the military
tried a sort of simulated war game against a smallpox pandemic, the
final score was "smallpox one, humanity zero," Gates said.
But he reiterated that he's an optimist, saying he thinks we could better prepare for the next viral or bacterial threat.In
some ways, we're better prepared now than we were for previous
pandemics. We have antiviral drugs that can in many cases do at least
something to improve survival rates. We have antibiotics that can treat
secondary infections like pneumonia associated with the flu.
We're
also getting closer to a universal flu vaccine; Gates announced on
Friday that the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation would offer $12
million in grants to encourage its development.
And we're getting
better at rapid diagnosis too — which is essential, as the first step
toward fighting a new disease is quarantine. Just this week, a new
research paper in the journal Science touted the development of a way to use the gene-editing technology Crispr to rapidly detect diseases and identify them using the same sort of paper strip used in a home pregnancy test.
But we're not yet good enough
at rapidly identifying the threat from a disease and coordinating a
response, as the global reaction to the latest Ebola epidemic showed.
There
needs to be better communication between militaries and governments to
help coordinate responses, Gates said. And he thinks governments need
ways to quickly enlist the help of the private sector when it comes to
developing technology and tools to fight an emerging deadly disease.
Melinda Gates recently said that the threat of a global pandemic, whether it emerges naturally or is engineered, was perhaps the biggest risk to humanity.
"Think
of the number of people who leave New York City every day and go all
over the world — we're an interconnected world," she said.
Those connections make us all vulnerable.
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